Wages to remain stable in 2013

Wage growth for private sector workers is expected to show little annual growth, based on Bloomberg BNA’s Wage Trend Indicator(WTI) for the first quarter of 2013.

The WTI is up from 98.52 in the fourth quarter of 2012 to 98.63 in 2013’s first quarter. WTI???s have  ranged between 98.47 to 98.75 for the last seven quarters.

Based on these figures, Bloomberg BNA projects that wages will increase by 1.7 percent in 2013, at the same rate as 2012.

“Labor market conditions have been improving slowly, but the economy remains somewhat weak,” economist Kathryn Kobe, a consultant who maintains and helped develop Bloomberg BNA’s WTI database, said. “Although the fiscal cliff has been avoided, there’s still a lot of uncertainty about the economic impact of a possible federal budget sequester, and businesses appear hesitant to hire new employees.”

In March 2013, sequestration cuts in federal spending did not have a profound dampening effect on the U.S. economy. Unemployment fell to 7.7 percent in February 2013, commercial and retail sales sales were stronger than analysts predictions and the real estate market grew with an upswing in housing prices.

However, there are concerns that the increased taxes and spending cuts could take as much as 1.5 percent off of growth this year.

 

Wide integration of unmanned aircraft could offer billions in economic opportunity

A study by Unmanned Vehicle Systems International (AUVSI) predicted that the unmanned aircraft industry has the potential to add more than 70,000 new jobs to the American economy in the first three years following the integration of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) into U.S. national airspace system (NAS) in 2015.

The study further forecasted that the unmanned aviation industry will add nearly 104,000 jobs to the American economy by 2025 and $482 million in tax revenue to the coffers of state and local governments in the first decade after integration. Overall, the report claimed, the American economy could potentially see $81.2 billion in total economic impact between 2015 and 2025 if the widespread use of UAS technology is ultimately permitted in American skies by the Federal Aviation Authority (FAA).

However encouraging, there were some contingencies attached to the predictions in the study.

The first is that the FAA puts guidelines in place for the full integration of UAS’s into NAS by 2015 as scheduled. The FAA was instructed to come up with a UAS integration plan by Congress through the FAA Modernization and Reform Act of 2012, however, it is unknown exactly what rules would shape than plan. The government agency says its main mission in designing the guidelines is safety, and it is unknown if that goal is compatible with the level of integration necessary to satisfy the predictions of AUVSI’s report.

 

The Wage Gap for Female Workers Continued to Widen in 2012

Women in 2012 are earning around 81 percent of what their male counterparts are netting in weekly wages. According to a study by the Institute for Women’s Policy Research (IWPR), this represents a  1.2 percent increase in pay disparity over 2011, when the ratio of women’s to men’s median weekly full-time earning was 82.2 percent.

Annual numbers also showed a slight increase in gender pay inequality. In 2011 the ratio for men and women’s median annual earnings was 77 percent, down from 77.5 percent in 2010 and equal to 2009’s numbers.  Data for 2012 is not yet available.

According to the Washington Post, life-chose issues, such as working in lower paying fields or leaving the workforce after having children, could explain some of the wage inequality.

“Women are more likely than men to work in minimum wage jobs and the stall in minimum wage increases disproportionately affects their earnings,” said Dr. Heidi Hartmann, President of IWPR.

Adjusted for life-style choices and demographic information about race, the ratio improved but still demonstrated a noticeable gap. Instead of having made 77 cent on the dollar, women made 91 cents on the dollar when compared to men.

 

More good news for US Employment

It was reported by the U.S. government today that 236,000 jobs were added to the economy in February, and that the unemployment rate dropped to 7.7%. The gains in employment beat analysts’ forecasts by a wide margin.  This reflected some of the same information that had been reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) in their index for February.  All of the numbers showed that economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded for the third consecutive month in February, and that the overall economy grew for the 45th consecutive month. “All five of the PMI’s component indexes – new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries and inventories – registered in positive territory in February. In addition, the Backlog of Orders, Exports and Imports Indexes all grew in February relative to January.”

A growing number of employers are experiencing a rise in employee turn-over as more jobs are coming open. At the same, employers are finding their positions are staying open longer because of growing trend of job offers being turned-down.   This is adding to cost and complexity of dealing with any open position.  This will continue be a problem as the overall active candidate pool continues to shrink, and demand increases.

BLS Employment Situation Report: February 2013

In February, unemployment in the U.S. fell to 7.7 percent, its
lowest point in four years according to the Labor Department, as
236,000 new jobs were added. While employment growth was the
leading cause for the falling unemployment rate, it was pushed
lower still by a decreased participation rate, which decreased by
0.1 percent. Employment growth managed to significantly beat
consensus economist estimates that employment would grow by about
160,000 positions in February. Nearly 2.4 million jobs have now
been added to the U.S. economy over the last twelve months.

While there was growth across most sectors of the
economy, there were pockets that saw notable levels of growth.
Construction, which has seen minimal growth over the last several
years, grew by 48,000 positions in February, keeping pace with the
overall rate of growth in the U.S. Additionally, temporary help
services grew by 16,100 positions and accounting and bookkeeping
services grew by 10,900. One interesting area for growth was the
motion picture and sound recording industry, which grew by 20,800,
from just 374,800 total positions in January.

???The unemployment rate for those with a bachelor’s degree or
higher edged up slightly from 3.7 to 3.8 percent on an increased
participation rate with total employment growing significantly. The
unemployment rates for those with high school degrees but not
bachelor’s degrees actually fell substantially in February. Yet,
for this group, unemployment declines were driven more by a falling
participation rate than growing employment. The management,
professional and related occupations unemployment rate dropped
year-over-year from 4.2 percent to 3.8 percent as total employment
grew by close to 1.4 million in the last year.

Put in a historical context, February’s unemployment report
shows monthly growth that is the second-strongest since last
February, when employment grew by more than 270,000 jobs. For the
past several years, though, February has been the last month of
strong employment growth before a deceleration going into the
summer.

In March, another wrinkle will be added with sequestration,
which took effect on the 1st of the month. Observers will be
looking closely to see what effects it will have on employment in
the coming months. While layoffs are expected to affect government
contractors almost immediately, government agencies will instead
mostly be relying on furloughs which begin this month.

Overall, this report far surpassed many expectations and was
made all the more impressive by the headwinds seen in Europe’s
employment markets. Employment continues to grow and, even with
sequestration coming into effect, expectations are for growth to
continue for the remainder of the year as the economy looks to
consumer and corporate demand to make up for the decline in
government spending.

New projects poised to create thousands of clean transportation jobs in 2013

Transportation industry professionals could have a wide variety of employment opportunities available in 2013, as more companies are dedicating resources toward clean travel options. According to Sustainable Business, 300 clean transportation projects have already been announced in the United States this year, and these assignments are expected to create thousands of jobs.

The news source points out that many transportation segment positions are readily available in California, Florida, North Carolina and other states. Additionally, industry experts are predicting that the clean transportation sector could have far-reaching effects on the U.S. economy.

“It’s now crystal-clear that clean energy and clean transportation are helping our economy recover,” Judith Albert, executive director of Environmental Entrepreneurs, told the news source. “The projects and job announcements like we saw in 2012 can continue.”

Texas officials are already enjoying the benefits of clean transportation projects across the state. The Dallas Morning News reports that the Lone Star State ranked ninth overall in the nation in terms of clean transportation employment opportunities last year and currently has 13 projects underway. New clean transportation industry positions could become available and help bolster the state’s economy.