Unemployment claims fall in U.S.

Unemployment ClaimsThe number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits dropped in February.

During the week ending Feb. 13, initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 7,000 to 262,000, the lowest figure since November 2015, Time magazine reported. Economists predicted that 275,000 claims would be filed.

The week marked 50 consecutive weeks of claims being below 300,000, which is the longest streak since the early 1970s, noted Reuters.

Data was also released that showed that mid-Atlantic factory activity decreased at a slower rate in February and had a rise in shipments, reported Time, suggesting that the manufacturing sector may be strengthening.

The falling number of claims is likely to cause the Federal Reserve to re-evaluate raising interest rates in March, according to the source. The Fed had nearly abandoned the idea of raising rates because of growing concerns about the U.S. and global markets.

“The economy is better than the markets think. We wouldn’t rule out another rate hike at the March meeting as financial market turbulence fades away and the economic outlook remains positive,” said Chris Rupkey, chief economist at MUFG Union Bank, in an interview with Reuters.

Unemployment Sneaks Down To 4.9%

While global economic fluctuations sent the stock market on a wild ride in January, the US unemployment rate dropped another 0.1% to 4.9%, which is its lowest level since February 2008. Economists are projecting some more wage and inflation pressure over the next several months as the slack in the job market continues to diminish. Overall employment figures continue to absorb losses with monthly positive job growth results keeping employment numbers steady for another month.
The strong dollar, sluggish global demand and weak commodity prices are still dogging US Manufacturers. But even with flat results US Manufacturing created 29,000 jobs after a relatively stagnant 2015. Food manufacturers alone added 11,000 positions. The ISM manufacturing index reflected a very slight increase in January from 48% to 48.2%. The indexes for new orders and production both climbed above 50 into a growth position for January.

 

Bruce Peacock
Vice President of Business Development
The Richmond Group USA 

Success(ion) Planning — When Retirement Becomes a Winning Strategy

By now, it should come as no surprise that baby boomers are retiring in record numbers. According to AARP, the number of retiring baby boomers is somewhere in the range of 8,000 per day. Considering that the average age of a community bank’s CEO was 58 years old back in 2013 (according to Morgan Stanley), and the average retirement age in America is 62 years old (according to the US Census Bureau), this leaves a small window of about two years for community banks to get the next generation of executives lined up to make for a smooth transition.

Easier said than done.

When the Recession hit eight years ago, a lot of seasoned bankers were displaced. Some eventually found another bank, but a large number left banking altogether, which has left a significant void of talent in the marketplace. There are many younger bankers that are just now transitioning into management, and many more intermediate-level bankers starting to get a feel for how to successfully manage, but are still by no means expert. The pool of qualified candidates that can confidently and successfully walk into that banking executive role, then, is understandably small and often hidden, as a majority of the top seasoned bankers are loyal and have been flying under most recruiting managers’ radar for quite some time.

While small, the talent pool is a bit deeper in major urban banking hubs. For smaller cities and rural-based banks, however, finding a qualified candidate is exacerbated by an extremely shallow pool of prospective candidates. This problem has caused many banking executives to delay, often indefinitely, the idea of retirement. Or is this really the problem?

A couple of weeks ago, I had the pleasure of meeting a Chief Credit Officer who had helped found his rural community bank in the Midwest. He was very confident about his retirement in two years. He had no idea, however, who was going to take his place. He had already spoken with everyone in his town that was qualified and could not find a suitable replacement. Although he was willing to look at other candidates from outside of his market, he was willing to be extremely picky about the exact background a person had to have in order to warrant a telephone conversation. Eventually, he decided the timing wasn’t quite right for the bank and the budget.

Although he continued to think the problem was a lack of qualified candidates, what emerged was what seemed to be a picture that is probably very familiar with a lot of banks and, for that matter, corporations throughout the U.S. Because he had invested more than a decade in building his bank from scratch, he seemed convinced that he was the only person that could manage it successfully. As a result, he was looking for an exact replica of himself.

While understandable, his emotional tie to his bank might be so strong that he may never retire. Or, he may retire in two years having never found a successor, in which case the bank will be in a mad scramble to replace him with a suitable candidate, this time without nearly enough runway to spend thoroughly vetting each candidate.

So, what is the right strategy? While there can never be a silver bullet, one-size-fits-all approach, there are steps and measures that can be taken to ensure that your bank can find the right successor.

It starts with understanding that the right candidate often comes along when you least expect it. As the adage goes, the easiest way to find something is to stop looking for it. However, you must be prepared to act when a prospect does show up out of the blue. This means not only being willing to spend the time fully vetting this person, but it also means setting aside a budget devoted to investing in the right person when they do come along.

Understandably, this opportunistic approach to hiring is something that can only happen if all of the executives in the bank are on the same page. If one or more member of the team is not ready for a succession-planning hire, either financially or emotionally, it doesn’t matter how perfect a candidate might be for the role.

Once everyone can buy into this strategy, it makes the overall succession planning process much more palatable and successful. When there’s a preparation and willingness to invest at any given time in the right opportunity, it just takes a well-qualified candidate to come along. With all the logistics and heavy lifting out of the way early, the bank can focus all of their time and attention on fully vetting the right candidate, which is truly a winning strategy.

Tech industry spurs job growth in Utah town

Provo UtahBig things are on the horizon for Provo, Utah.

Provo had the fastest job growth rate of any town in the U.S. in 2015, according to CNN Money. It has an unemployment rate of 2.7 percent, almost half the national rate of 5 percent. In addition, the town posted an annual growth rate of 5.2 percent, compared to the national annual growth rate of 1.9 percent.

The metro area of Provo, located in northern Utah, is home to more than half a million people and employs a workforce of 274,000 people, according to the source. The largest employers in the area are colleges, including Brigham Young University and Utah Valley State University, and hospitals, and its economy also benefits from several premier ski areas located nearby.

Tech boom
However, it’s a booming tech industry that is responsible for most of the new job growth.

“Our start up economy is just crazy … we call ourselves Silicon Slopes,” said Rona Rahlf, president of the Utah Valley Chamber of Commerce in Provo, in an interview with CNN Money.

Entrepreneurs and established tech companies alike have flocked to Provo for its low cost of living, young atmosphere – more than half of the population is under age 30 – and fast Internet, the source reported. Provo is one of only three towns or cities in the U.S. that currently has ultra-fast Google Fiber Internet access. The other two cities are Kansas City and Austin.

The large companies that have set up shop in or near Provo include Adobe and Ebay, along with several companies that have valuations of or above $1 billion, such as Vivint, a home security company, and software developer Insidesales.com.

Housing market
In addition, Provo draws new residents with its low housing rates, according to the Standard-Examiner. In the Multi-Indicator Market Index published by Freddie Mac, Northern Utah was named one of the top housing markets in the country.

“Housing markets such as Salt Lake City, Provo and Ogden have strong buyer demand [and] they’re also still largely affordable for the typical family looking for a median priced home,” said Len Kiefer, deputy chief economist at Freddie Mac, in an interview with the paper.

Non-tech industries are also seeing positive job numbers. Job growth in the construction industry was in the double-digits in 2015, CNN Money reported.

Solar energy jobs on the rise in U.S.

Solar JobsA new report shows that job growth in the solar energy industry is booming.

In November 2015, the industry employed 209,000 people, according to figures released in the “National Solar Jobs Census 2015,” compiled by the Solar Foundation, a nonprofit. In 2015, 35,000 solar jobs were added, which marked 20 percent growth compared to 2014, CNNMoney reported. Over five years, the number of solar jobs more than doubled.

The solar energy industry encompasses a variety of positions, from designers and installers to salespeople. With the job gains, the solar industry now employs more people than oil and gas construction does, according to CNNMoney. The solar workforce also has 77 percent more employees than the coal mining sector.

Growth factors
CNNMoney attributed the job gains to recent environmental regulations, including a new mandate by the Environmental Protection Agency that requires states to reduce their carbon footprints and measures established at the climate change talks in Paris in December. In addition, the source noted that Congress renewed a measure in December that allows home- and business owners to receive a 30 percent tax credit for installing solar panels.

In terms of solar employment, 63 percent is in the residential sector, 22 percent is in utilities and 15 percent is commercial, reported GreenBiz. However, the source noted that shifts in these figures are predicted.

Employment issues
Hourly wages for solar energy system installers rose 5 percent over the year to reach an average pay of $21 per hour, which the source reported is double the average wage in the U.S.

However, GreenBiz noted that solar employers are facing some challenges to recruiting new workers. Some 26 percent of solar companies experienced difficulties finding qualified talent in 2015, up from 19 percent the previous year. For sales positions in the solar industry, 23 percent of companies reported difficulties finding new talent, a rise from the 20 percent reported in 2014.

Despite these growing pains, many industry professionals consider solar careers attractive for the high wages, booming growth and large potential. CNN spoke to Todd Valdez, who started his own solar company, Sunkey Energy, after attending Ecotech Institute. He told the source that the volume of solar power his company installed grew three times in size from 2014 to 2015.

“Our workload has definitely been rising tremendously,” said Valdez in an interview with CNNMoney, calling the solar energy industry “a good place to go now if you’re looking for a career change.”

The most solar energy jobs were found in California, followed by Massachusetts, according to the source

Cheap Gas Moves Cars

Cheap oil continues to help and hurt US manufacturing.  The automotive industry led manufacturing losses during the recession but has been an area of strength and growth for US manufacturing in the last few years.  Sales of cars and light trucks in the US are on a pace to exceed 17.5 million in 2015, which will surpass the record of 17.4 million set in 2000.  Based on several factors auto sales could continue to strengthen in 2016.  Gas prices are expected to head lower in 2016, and cheap gas puts money into drivers’ pockets and helps them to afford bigger vehicles.  Interest rates are still extremely low, and the average age of cars on the road hit a new record of 11.5 years in 2015.  Consumers have never really “caught up” from the sharp auto sales slowdown of the Great Recession, so there’s plenty of pent-up auto replacement demand to drive strong sales for the next several years.  2016 is starting off with some uncertainty about the impact of a weakening Chinese economy on the rest of the world, and the manufacturers supporting domestic oil & gas industry are shedding jobs to deal with dismal results in the energy sector.  In the meantime US employment is still holding on at 5%.

Bruce Peacock
Vice President of Business Development
The Richmond Group USA